Modern Horizons 3 Play Booster EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Modern Horizons 3 Play Booster boxes using live TCGplayer market prices. Updated daily, this calculator uses official slot odds and rarity data for accurate pack value projections.

36 packs / box 14 cards / pack (game cards) New‑to‑Modern (N2M): 1/pack SPG: 1/64 replaces a common Land slot: 50% common • 20% basic (NF) • 13.3% basic (foil) • 10% Eldrazi basic (NF) • 6.7% Eldrazi basic (foil) Rare slot: 79.8% R • 13.0% M • 2.1% retro R/M • 5.1% borderless R/M Excludes MH3 #447–467 (CB‑only), #468+ & “z”; M3C ≤16; Wastes via wildcard only
Included sets
Prices: Scryfall usd/usd_foil only (no TCGplayer Market). Rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green; EV uses Sift only if toggled.

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Mid and Low pull from TCGCSV (TCGplayer mirror). “Min” chooses the lowest non-null value, and Market falls back to whichever price is available.
Rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if toggled on, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Adds 2.5% processing + $0.30/order in the summary. Leave 0 if you consider this part of shipping.

Pack & Box EV

LowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV × 36 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00
Name Set Card # Rarity Treatment Value ($) Seller fees (pct + txn) Boxes / copy
Total (Expected / box) — included sets & Sift 0.00
Preparing…
Boxes / copy = 1 ÷ expected copies per box (36 × per‑pack probability). EV uses Sift only when Use Sift (≥) is checked; row tinting always uses the numeric Sift value.