Scarlet & Violet—Obsidian Flames
Booster Bundle EV calculator
Estimate the expected value (EV) of Obsidian Flames booster bundles using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This calculator models the Obsidian Flames English pull structure with standard slots, rare-slot upgrades, guaranteed reverse holo pulls, and premium bonus-slot upgrades to produce realistic EV and variance projections.
Basic Energy, code cards, and sealed extras are not included in this calculation.
Each sealed product is simulated pack-by-pack using the configured Obsidian Flames pull-rate assumptions shown on the page. Simulations always draw full pack contents first, then apply optional Sift filtering afterward so EV follows true opening order.
Set theme: Obsidian Flames spotlights Darkness-type Charizard ex, Terastal Pokémon ex like Tyranitar ex and Eiscue ex, and a compact Scarlet & Violet premium sheet with Illustration Rare, Ultra Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare chase cards.
Obsidian Flames pull-rate context (community estimates)
This calculator uses live pricing with a configurable Obsidian Flames pack model. Published pull-rate references are listed below for context and tuned to the TCGplayer Obsidian Flames pull-rate article. Reverse Holofoil cards are modeled across a guaranteed reverse slot plus a second reverse/premium slot, while Illustration Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and Hyper Rare hits are handled as upgrades to that bonus slot.
Simulation order: card contents are drawn first, then optional Sift filtering is applied to the drawn pulls.
| Rarity / slot | Article / community range | Model default |
|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 13.61% (~1 in 7 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 13.61% |
| Ultra Rare | 6.63% (~1 in 15 packs) | Rare-slot upgrade = 6.63% |
| Illustration Rare (IR) | 7.60% (~1 in 13 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 7.60% |
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | 3.13% (~1 in 32 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 3.13% |
| Hyper Rare (HR) | 1.92% (~1 in 52 packs) | Bonus-slot upgrade = 1.92% |
Validation targets: TCGplayer’s English Obsidian Flames pull-rate data, plus the official Obsidian Flames card list for premium numbering ranges and card names.
Included pools ▶
Selling Fees
Value Threshold
0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.EV Range (Monte Carlo)
Purchase EV
Pack & Box EV
| Metric | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pack EV (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Box EV × 6 (gross) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Break‑even price/box (mid) | $0.00 | ||
Purchase EV & Profit
| All boxes | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross EV | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Total fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net after fees | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Profit after expenses | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| ROI vs cost | — | — | — |
Simulation Results (after Sift)
| Name | Card # | Rarity | Treatment | Value | Seller fees | Boxes / copy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift | 0.00 | |||||