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Guild Ledger of the Riftbound

Riftbound: Origins Booster Box EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value (EV) of Riftbound: Origins booster boxes using live TCGplayer market prices via TCGCSV. This uses a transparent pack model, applies Sifts after each pack is drawn, and computes Monte Carlo bands.

Signature cards are not included in this calculation.

24 packs / box 13 EV‑modeled cards / pack (token/rune excluded) Base slots: 7C • 3U • 2 Rare‑or‑better (per‑slot Epic upgrade) Foil slot: configurable rarity mix Rare/Epic from Rare‑slots can use foil pricing Showcase slot: ≈1 in 72 packs (≈1 per 3 boxes)
Included pools ▶
Sift is a price floor (USD): rows with Value ≥ Sift tint green. EV only uses Sift if you enable the toggle below, and it is applied after each pack’s cards are drawn.
Counts — Main (NF)
Counts — Rare slot
Counts — Foil slot
Counts — Showcase
Sanity

Selling Fees

Per‑row shows combined pct + txn (txn = 2.5% processing). $0.30/order is added only in the summary.

Value Threshold

Changing this can materially lower EV if Market/Mid are stale. “Min” is most conservative.
Example: 0.25 removes any card valued under $0.25 from EV only if the toggle is on. Sift is applied after each pack is drawn.

EV Range (Monte Carlo)

Runs per summary update; higher counts smooth the bands but take longer.
Low/High = central quantiles measured from Monte Carlo pack openings.

Purchase EV

Adds 2.5% processing + $0.30/order in the summary. Leave 0 if part of shipping costs.

Pack & Box EV

LowMidHigh
Pack EV (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Box EV × 24 (gross)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Gross EV per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after fees per box (Purchase ÷ Boxes)$0.00$0.00$0.00
Break‑even price/box (mid)$0.00

Purchase EV & Profit

All boxesLowMidHigh
Gross EV$0.00$0.00$0.00
Total fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net after fees$0.00$0.00$0.00
Profit after expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00
ROI vs cost———
Boxes: 0 • Price/box: $0.00 • Total cost: $0.00
Name Card # Rarity Treatment Value Seller fees Boxes / copy
Total (Expected / box) — active pools & Sift 0.00
Preparing…
Boxes / copy = 1 ÷ expected copies per box (24 × per‑pack probability). EV uses Sift only when Use Sift (≥) is checked; row tinting always uses the numeric Sift value.